Nifty Ninjaa

@9.00 AM N.Spot VAs VAH - 12138 POC - 12125 VAL - 12114 Hypo 1 - if N.spot price opens above YVAH, price might drive up to test 12180/12200. Hypo 2 - if N.spot price opens inside YVA, first half might be balancing moves second half if price breaks 12140, it might test 12180 / 12200 Hypo 3 - if price opens below YVAL, price might test 12080 and if momentum comes in it might test 12040 zone Side Notes : 1) Rupee lost its strength yesterday 2) Today where price opens is important 3) ViX movement is also very important today 4) Today evening GDP numbers for Q2 will be released 5) All prices are Nifty spot prices due to new month open @9.08 AM Pre - Open - 12146(-4.95) @9.15 AM Open above VAH but went inside Y VA and now tested YVAL Taking support at Y VAL ViX @ 13.55 (3% down) If 12100 breaks with momentum, it might test 12060 But in parallel Vix should also spike up Yesterday IBL was very strong. So 12100 has to be broken with momentum. Do not sho...

@9.00 AM NF VAs VAH - 12108 POC - 12099 VAL - 12086 NF closed at highs @ 12123.8 Hypo - 1 - If price opens above YVAH and drives up, potential COD. If price breaches 26th Nov high (12137.6), price might test some untested areas like 12200 / 12220. Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, price might make balanced moves, might take support around 12070 / 12060 and bounce up to test Y high or 26th Nov high. Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, price might drive down, if price breaches 12060 with momentum, it might test 12020 / 12000. Side Note: 1) The 27th Nov VAs are within or inside of 26th Nov VAs 2) Small IB - 30.25 points 3) Price closed at highs, potential COD. 4) Today is monthly Expiry, stay in sidelines or trade in small qty. Respect Risk. 5) Range is small 50.85 pts @9.07 AM Pre-Open - 12132 (+31.75) @9.15 AM Open @ 12119.85 above VAH. price tested Y volume POC and rotating. ViX 5% down, trading around 14. @9.31 AM Enter at 12104 SL - 12095 ...

@ 9.00 AM NF close @ 12098 NF VAs VAH - 12116 POC - 12087 VAL - 12070 Hypo - 1 - If price opens below YVAL, price might drive down. if price breaks 12020 - 12000 range with momentum, price might test 22nd Nov POC 11910 Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, between YVAH and POC, price might do balancing moves for a while and if it breaks YVAH, it might test 12130/12140. and if price opens between 12080 and 12070, price might test POC (as resistance) and might drive down to test 12020 / 12000 Hypo -3 - If price opens above YVAH, it might test Yhigh and if it breaches Y high, might test higher levels and form new ATH. Side Notes: 1) Even though 25th VAH is broken, price still closed above the YVAH and IBL. 2) Single prints between 12020 - 12000 has to be broken for more downside or to test 22nd Nov POC 11910 3) Today's price opening is important. @9.07 AM Pre-Open @ 12068.5 (+30.8) @9.15 AM open inside YVA - open @ 12098.55 Hypo 2 in process As of now ...

@9.00 AM NF closed @ 12102.75 NF VAs VAH -  12075 POC -  12022 VAL -  11961 Hypo - 1 - If Price opens above YVAH, price might drive up to test 12120. potential COD. Hypo - 2 - If price opens within YVA, between 12075 and 12040, it might test Y Volume POC and drive higher to test 12100 / 12130. Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YPOC (within YVA), expect balanced moves. price might move between 11980 and 12040. Side Notes: 1) From C period till close, lows were never breached. perfect trend day. closed at highs. Potential COD 2) ATH of NF is 12118 (as on 3rd June 2019), high probability for NF to breach last ATH and form a new ATH. 3) Lot of Single prints formed on 25th Nov (E, I periods) 4) Large range after many days (R- 189.4 Points) and IB - 74.8 Points 5) 21st Nov price dent at L (11980) has been repaired. 6) 12075 zone was taken out after lot of price struggle and closed above it. 7) No Bearish Hypos, since price is unlikely to gap down below ...

@9.00 AM NF VAs VAH - 11932   POC - 11912 VAL -  11890 NF Closed @ 11924.7 Hypo - 1 - If price opens above YVAH, price might drive up and test 12000 Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, between 11930 and 11910 - price might take support at YPOC and bounce later to test 12000. If price opens between 11910 and 11890, it might test YPOC and drive down to test 14th Nov POC - 11860 Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, price might drive down to test 11860. Side Notes: 1) After IB low broke (close to 11935), rest of the periods could not penetrate the IB low upside (see J,K periods) with momentum. so if price opens inside VA, price must breach 11935 with momentum for further upside 2) VIX is below 15, trade index with very low quantity 3) Any gap-up open and strong momentum, price might easily test 12000 and 12040, because on 22nd Nov price was holding between 11900 - 11880 strongly. @9.08 AM Pre - Open - 11922.45 (+8) - Flat Open @9.15 AM NF Open @ 1192...

@9.00 AM NF close @ 11971.65 NF VAs VAH - 12015 POC - 12000 VAL - 11990 Hypo -1 - If NF opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test the price dent on 19th nov 11940/11930 Hypo - 2 - If NF opens inside YVA, expect balanced moves. Price Has to breach 12015 with momentum for further upside or it might break 11990 and test 11940 Hypo - 3 - If NF opens above VAH, price might test 12040 / 12050 Side Note: 1) 21st nov price closed exactly @ 19th Nov Volume Poc 2) Yesterday price could not breach 12015 (20th Nov volume poc), observe all the periods from B to K,L. Was swinging there and finally L period broke. 3) price closed at lows, potential COD down, let's see where we open. 4) moving forward, price breaching 12015 (YVAH) is very important for price to scale higher. So today's open is important. @9.08 AM Pre-Open - 11967.3 (-1.1) (Flat Pre-Open) @9.15 AM Open at 11973.6 below YVAL. wait for COD till 9.30. @9.31 AM Enter At 11952 SL 11980 Target 1...

@9.00 AM NF closed @ 12014 NF VAs VAH - 12055 POC - 12043 VAL - 12010 Hypo - 1 - if price opens above YVAH, need to breach 12070 (4th Jun POC) with momentum for further upmove. Price might test 12100 Hypo - 2 - if price opens inside YVA, expect balanced move. If breaks 12000, it might test 11960/11930 and if 12070 breaks it might test 12100/12120 Hypo - 3 - if prices opens below YVAL, it needs to break 12000 to test 11960/11930. Side Note:  1) today is weekly expiry any levels can be breached. 2) Yesterday Telcos and disinvestment news seems to be already priced in. 3) 11930 dent yet to be repaired. 4) Big IB range - 62.05 pts compared to last 4 days profile @9.08 AM Pre-Open - 12025.65 ( +26.55) Don't punt in BNF before 1.45pm. stay calm and watch the auction. @9.15 AM Open is 12007.35. Open exactly at VAL. And gone well within YVA. No paper trades today. @9.25 AM 12000 broke. First half is going to be boring. And price might auction within s...

@9.00 AM NF VAs VAH - 11980 POC - 11963 VAL - 11942 NF close @ 11985.8, closed at highs. Potential COD to watch. Hypo 1 - if price opens above YVAH and drives up, it might test 12020 / 12040. Hypo 2 - if price opens inside YVA (between 11960 - 11980), it might test YPOC (11960 - 11950) and bounce to test 12020/12040. Expect a balancing day and price slowly moving higher. Hypo 3 - if price opens below YVAL and drives down, price might test 11900/11890. Again have to watch how price reacts here, if breaches it will test 11860. Side Notes:  1) 19th Nov has the smallest IB - 28.95 points compared to last 4/5 days 2) price closed above all the last 3 day's IB highs. 3) on 19th Nov, from C period price consolidated between 11940 - 11985, psychologically it is making buyers very comfortable. 4) potential COD, wait until 9.30 but high chances for price to open inside VA and later test highs. But let us see where it opens. Still Jay not comfortable to go long until pr...

@9.00 AM NF VAs VAH -  11928 POC -  11910 VAL -  11903 Nov 15th - high Volume Poc is 11938 and Nov 14th - high volume poc - 11900. Need to break 11940-50 or 11900-11890 either side with high momentum If price breaks above 11960 and price reaches 12020 - need to see how price reacts here and enter swing shorts (remaining position) Hypo - 1 - If Price opens below YVAL , and if price breaches 11880. It might test 14th Nov poc (11850) Hypo - 2 - If open inside YVA, first half choppiness and second half might break either side Hypo - 3 - If open above YVAH, and if breaches 11960, it might test 12,000 @9.12 AM If Vix is below 15, do not trade index. The market is for scalpers. If Vix is between 15 and 18, trade index futures with small quantities and with options be very specific with your targets If Vix is above 18, trade with good quantities if you have strong conviction. @9.15 AM NF open @ 11918 Inside YVA, expect choppiness for sometime. ...

@9.00 AM What i see in the chart is, like Nov 14th, another day IB (A,B period) low was not breached. C period 12K breach was very short, couldn't sustain. I see the day for early shorts in the system. With Vix down, today might be a choppy balancing day. Let's see where price will open tomorrow. NF VAs VAH - 11975 POC - 11950 VAL - 11938 Hypo - 1 - open inside VA, balancing day. Later in the day might breah YVAH and test 12000 /120040 or might breach YVAL and test 11900 / 11860 Hypo - 2 - Open below YVAL, price might test 11900 / 11860 Hypo - 3 - open above YVAH, price might test 12000 / 12040 Side notes :  1) Nov 13th Poc and Vpoc are far apart, we waited for Nov 14 close - which closed higher (11900), so we can infer the volume PoC was buyers. 2) nov 14th and 15th - price did not breach IB low, we can infer buyers are little strong 3) my thought process is, from here price might be little slow and choppy and test 12040 taking out early intra shorters i...

@9.00 AM NF VAs VAH - 11885   POC - 11855 VAL -  11840 Hypo 1 - If Market opens above VAH (11884), it might drive up. Zones to watch is 11990 / 12000 Hypo - 2 Point to note : What i observed is after price reached 10/30 PoC and IB formed, A and B period low was never breached. So two hypos will be bullish to choppiness Hypo - 3 as usual bearish view but price should have momentum breach below 11840 to test 11800. @9.15AM Open @ 11913. Above YVAH Got rejected from 11940-11960 zone Let's wait until 9.45 today till A period completion @9.46 AM Enter @ 11942 SL - 11,910 Target - 11985 My conviction says it will test 11990 before any down move - intraday @10.05 AM Another 10 mins. If move does not happen exit 50% and hold rest with SL 11910 VIX is 4% down. I will say Nifty will move slowly towards 11990. Pro traders might short slowly for swing @10.15 AM - NF trading @ 11947 Let's hold all qty of paper trade and keep B period low as SL now...

@9.00 AM NF VAs VAH - 11941 VAL - 11910 POC - 11922 1) Pros, Big fund managers will not enter large quantities in a single day. They will accumulate in many days 2) Trade location plays an important role for the risk reward objective and swing trades 3) Expiry days - 90% of the time our views will not happen Hypo - 1 - If price opens below YVAL (11910), it will drive down to test 11840. if price breaches 11840 with momentum, price might test 11800. Hypo - 2 - if price opens inside YVA,  balance moves. Later in the day it might scale higher to test 12000 or it might crack and test 11840. Hypo - 3 - if price opens above YVAH, it will drive higher to reach 12000. @9.15 AM COD in formation. But there are some context to note. 1) expiry day 2) 30th Oct POC is very near @9.31 AM Paper Trade Enter - 11840 SL - 11890 Target - 11780 @10.00 AM Yesterday - the POC and volume POC are far apart, we need to see following day auction. If market closes at lo...

@9.00 AM Nifty Future VAs VAH - 11919 POC - 11911 VAL - 11881 Hypo - 1 - if market opens above YVAH, price will test 11990/12000 Hypo - 2 - if open below YPOC (within VA) first half will be choppiness, if 11880 breaks with momentum it will test 11860/11840 Hypo - 3 - if open below YVAL, 11880 market will test 11840. If 11840 breaks with momentum then 11800 might test @9.15 AM NF open @ 11919.95 above YVAH. Initial spike is happening taking support of YPOC. 1) Most of the POC Zones will act as support / Resistance, so when price nears to it, it is recommended to book profit. 2) If price moves higher, it is making traders to be comfortable to go long, pro traders use that to swing short until 12075 is taken out with momentum. @9.20 AM - 9.40 AM TCS, HDFC bank, Axis bank, ICICI is leading now Kotak and Indusind leading the pack It is not OTD, if price comes into YVAs Now almost all banks are down except Kotak N.spot is above YHigh comfortably If Nift...

@9.00 AM NF VAs VAH : 12032 VAL : 11978 POC : 12008 7th Nov was a neutral extreme up day Hypo - 1 - open above YVAH. Price will test 12080. Hypo - 2 - open inside VA. If holds 11980 it might bounce back to test 12040/12080. Hypo - 3 - lf open below YVAL, price will drive down as OD or OTD to test 11960, if breaks that it will test 11900. @9.15 AM Open inside value area. Expected gap down is here No business to do intra buy until 11980 is saved If 11980 holds hypo 2 will be in play To study and observe not to trade: Any bounce from here till 12060 will be made use to accumulate shorts. First probe zone in N.spot is 11900. Shorts invalid if NF breaches 12075 Since market opened inside value area. Today no paper trade. @10.00 AM As of now OAIR and Narrowest IB - 29 pts @3.30 PM NF Price closed @ lows 11940

@9.00 AM N.Future VAH - 12050 POC - 12000 VAL - 11935 N.Spot VAH - 12000 POC -  11965 VAL -  11900 @9.15AM Market Opened Within YVA. Flat Open. No Paper Trades. Expecting Open Auction In Range (OAIR) 6th Nov auction was bullish, price has not tested 6th Nov high so far (12049.9) Side Note: 1) N.Spot price opened yesterday's high 2) Always stick to yesterday's auction until something is not tested 3) If today market closes at days high. Next pull back we can go long @9.35 AM Yesterday's POC (12,000) has not been tested so far @9.50 AM BankNifty falling with momentum, Nifty approaching yesterday's POC. @3.26 PM Closing at near highs @ 12055.5 . If tomorrow opens outside VAH. It will be a COD.

@ 9:00 AM NF VAs VAH -  11970 POC -  11950 VAL -  11920 N.Spot VAH -  11940 POC -  11915 VAL -  11880 Hypo - 1 -  If n.future opens above YVAH (11970) and does not break YVAH. Price will drive higher and target will be 12040/12050 Hypo - 2 - if open inside VA, first half will be flattish, second half might be a trending price either 12040 or 11840 Hypo - 3 - if market opens below YVAL 11921 and drives down to test 11840. @9.15 AM Balanced open inside YVA. No Paper trades. Jay's Trade Summary: @9.25AM to 10.15AM - Paper trade: 11900PE @ 58 SL @44 Keep days high SL as 11950. Bull will attempt to buy until Y.low is breached 11901 Booked 11900PE @ 70 Total Profit Point : 12 Tip# If B period low breaches A period low with momentum . The paper trade will continue with same qty. If b period circles around cut qty and hold half Qty. @3.15PM - Price closed exactly at Today's Volume POC. 7th Nov Opening is Important.

NF Closed @ 11918.05 @9.00 AM - VAs of NF VAH - 11970 POC - 11955 VAL - 11921 VAs of N.Spot VAH - 11940 POC - 11915 VAL - 11880 1) on 4th Nov both IBH and IBL was broken Hypo - 1 - If price opens below YVAL (11920), it might test 30th Oct POC - 11840 Hypo - 2 - If price opens above YVAH (11970), until price breaks 11970 with momentum, price might drive higher to test 12040 / 12050 Hypo - 3 - If open inside YVA, balancing moves @9.15 AM - Flat open on Spot and Future. More of OAIR (open Auction Inside Range) @10.15 AM - IB for Nov 4th and Nov 5th are the same #Tip : In the last 4 days of profile, if you see a big D consolidation formation, 70% chances for 5th day to give a big move either side. @3.15 PM - Failed normal Variation Day.

NF Closed @ 11938.15 We closed near day's high. Potential COD. @9.00 AM NF Value Areas , VAH - 11925 POC - 11910 VAL - 11895 N.Spot VAH - 11900 POC - 11880 VAL - 11865 Hypo - 1 - If Price opens above YVAH, price might test 11970 /  11980 Zone. Bullish open drive. Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, expect balanced moves. Hypo - 3 - If price opens below 11900 (YVAL), price might test 11840. Volatility Shrinking. @9.15 AM - Open Above VAH. Do not Short @9.31AM - Paper trade at 9.31 due to prev day COD - @9.31 - Entry - 11990 (2 Lots) SL - 11948 Target 1 - 12045 (1 : 1.25) Target 2 - 12060 (1: 1.5) #Tip: If trading with two lots and if OD is not scaling as expected. Exit 1 lot out and keep 1 lot until the price breaks days low/days high ( with respect to OD up or OD down). Reference is end of B Period. (10.15 AM) @10.15 - Exit 1 lot at 11987 B Period Low - 11972 @11.52 - Exited 1 lot at 11948. @3.30 - Day was a neutral day.

11th Nov 2019 Value Areas of Nifty Future, VAH (Value Area High) - 12,021 POC (Point of Control) - 11,990 VAL (Value Area Low) - 11,970 Hypo 1 - If Market Gaps down below YVAL (11970), Continuation Open Drive(CoD) Down might take place since markets closed at days low on 8th Nov 2019. It might test the second probe zone 11860 / 11840. Hypo 2 - If Market opens inside VA, expect balanced moves (Open Auction).  Chances for open rejection reverse at the YPOC and drive down.  Hypo 3 - If Market gaps up above YVAH (12021), it might test 8th Nov High again (12070 / 12080) @9.07 AM - Pre-Open Nifty Spot @ 11879 (-29) @9.15 AM - Nifty Future open below YVAL @ 11,908 . COD expected. @9.30 AM - Nifty spot we above day's high, Nifty Future followed and went above day's high. Open Drive / Open Test Drive failed today. No Paper Trades. @10.15 AM - Open type was Open Rejection Reverse. Looks like Open Auction Outside Range. Might be a Range boun...