Nifty Ninjaa

@9.00 AM NF Closed at 12036.8 NF FEB CONTRACT VAs VAH - 12089 POC - 12060 VAL - 12044 BNF FEB CONTRACT VAs VAH - 30775 POC - 30715 VAL - 30665 Hypo -1 - If price opens inside YVA, between YVAH and YPOC, it might take support at YPOC (12060) and bounce up to test 12130 / 12140 zone. Hypo - 2 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive hit 12060 and then down to test 11990 / 11980 zone. VPOC at 11986.5 (11th Dec 2019 - FEB contract). Hypo - 3 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive down initially and take support at 12060 and then drive up to test 12130 / 12140 zone. Side Notes: 1) OTD happened yesterday was perfect and people traded would have made easy 50 points. 2) ViX was negative to flat initially but later it started increasing to 1-2%. Closed @ 16.8 3) Reliance is damn weak, closed at lows. it might pull nifty down. Hdfcbank and kotakbank are weak. Axis and ICICI are at the border of weakness.  4) FEB Contract Weekly VPOC is ...

@9.00 AM NF Closed at 12075 NF VAs VAH - 12150 POC - 12120 VAL - 12102 BNF VAs VAH - 31030 POC - 30920 VAL - 30865 Hypo - 1 - If price opens inside YVA, it might balance for a while and later if it breaks YVAH, it might test 12180 / 12200 zone and if YVAL breaks it might test 12040 / 12000 zone. Hypo - 2 - If price opens below YVAL, it might test YPOC and drive down to test 12040 / 12000 zone. Hypo - 3 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test 12190 / 12200 zone Side Notes: 1) ViX was Flat to positive. Closed around 17.3 2) HVN (Volume PoC) did not move below after the down move on both 27th and 28th Jan. Down move might be limited here. 3) 12040 / 12000 is an important zone, if price breaks can directly test 11900 zone (11th Dec VPoC). Any momentum move above YVAH, one can try long to test 24th Jan PoC 12250 zone. 4) price closed below IBL and small singles formed between 12093 and 12085.

@9.00 AM NF Closed at 12272. NF VAs VAH - 12285 POC - 12245 VAL - 12231 BNF VAs VAH - 31407 POC - 31323 VAL - 31233 Hypo - 1 - If price opens above YVAH, it might take support at Y volume POC and drive up to test 12310 VPOC (20th Jan 2020). Hypo - 2 - If price open inside YVA, it might do some balancing moves between YVAH and YPOC, later it might drive up to test 12310 or if it breaks YVAL, it might drive down to test 12200 and 12160 zone Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12200 / 12160 zone. If momentum creeps in, it might test Jan 23rd low (12110 zone) Side Notes: 1) Jan 24th profile structure is weak, auctions were not perfect. ViX was trading at 15.56 (3% down) 2) With respect to 24th Jan auction, price should clear the 20th Jan VPoC before any down move. 3) Any reversal of price towards down, the first target to be clear is 22nd and 23rd Jan low at 12110 4) Volumes for the whole last week was good and the average range NF tra...

@9.00 AM NF Closed at 12149. Kind of Double Distribution day. High Volume and ViX day. NF VAs VAH - 12181 POC - 12166 VAL - 12123 BNF VAs VAH - 30924 POC - 30864 VAL - 30732 Hypo - 1 - If NF opens inside YVA, it might swing and do some balancing moves between YPOC and YVAL, later it might drive down to test Y low (12110) and breaking that will test 12050 / 12040 zone Hypo - 2 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12040 zone. Hypo - 3 - If price opens above YVAH, it might test Y single prints between 12205 and 12190, price might drive down into YVA, do some balancing and later it might break either side to test 12250 / 12040 zone Side Notes: 1) Yesterday expectation was price to take support at 12200 due to the gap support, but at C period it broke and formed strong singles between 12205 and 12190. Gap is not completely filled yet. one more VPOC at 12036 (8th Jan) is pending to test 2) ViX was consistently up by 2-3% and closed at 16.36 3) BNF ...

@9.00 AM NF Closed at 12200.1. It was an pure Open Auction Outside Range (OAOR) day. NF VAs VAH - 12225 POC - 12206 VAL - 12200 Hypo - 1 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test 12320 / 12340 zone Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, it might balance between YVAH and YPOC, it might take support at YVAL and drive up to test 12300 zone Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12120 zone. Side Notes: 1) Even though it was OAOR, the volumes were still high. 2) NF might find support between 12200 and 12180, it might head higher (pullback) 3) ViX was around 2-3% up, closed at 15.86

@ 9.00 AM NF Closed at 12266. Superb Long liquidation and downtrend day. Volume pumped up a bit. ViX  skyrocketed above 15 NF VAs VAH - 12325 POC - 12311 VAL - 12257 Hypo - 1 - If price opens inside YVA, it might balance for a while, price might touch YVAH or further little up until 12340 and then drive down to test 12230 zone. Hypo - 2 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12200 / 12180 zone. Hypo - 3 - If price opens above YVAH, it might test 12340 / 12350 zone and then drive down inside YVA and do some balancing moves. Side Notes: 1) 'b' shape profile, long liquidation took place. next pullback until 12340 - 12360, we can short the market for 12210 (test of single prints of Jan 9th) 2) ViX closed at 15.41, up by 8%. Volumes were continuously increasing the whole day. 3) Today might be a balancing to pullback day, later it might drive down.

@9.00 AM NF Closed at 12377.5. Even-though NF made All-Time Highs at 12412.5 this week, the range NF traded was within 100 points. Volume for the entire week was less. BNF is weak and index was supported by some heavy weights like Reliance, Maruti, Bharti Airtel etc. NF is right now balancing and directionless. NF VAs VAH - 12394 POC - 12388 VAL - 12367 Hypo - 1 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test 12430 / 12450 zone. Expectation is 14 Jan might be taken out, for further up-move, price should break 12415 with momentum. Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, it might balance for a while and later it might break 12390 levels with momentum to test 12450 zone or it might break 12360 levels with momentum to test 12300 / 12240 zone. Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12320 / 12300 / 12240 zones. This move should be supported with increase in volume and ViX. Side Notes: 1) The price movements was entirely sideways and ViX was fl...

@9.00 AM NF closed at 12370 NF VAs VAH - 12385 POC - 12374 VAL - 12356 Hypo - 1 - If price opens inside YVA, it might do some balancing moves between 12380 and 12350, either side break with momentum will test 12450 / 12300 respectively. Hypo - 2 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test Jan 14th High 12420 / 12450 zone. Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12300 / 12240 zone. Side Notes: 1) NF is holding strong but BNF is weak, Federal and Kotak is comparatively strong but other stocks are not supporting. Any down move will take NF with it. 2) ViX was flat and closed at 14.12. Volumes are comparatively less. 3) The K singles from 14th Jan were accepted by the price but could not close above it. 4) IBL was broken briefly but still the VAs are formed above 15th Jan VAs 5) Confusing and consolidating auctions for the past 4 days, NF did touch new ATH but not able to sustain the levels. Any break of IBL or VAL will lead NF to f...

@9.00 AM NF Closed at 12373.8 NF VAs VAH - 12356 POC - 12338 VAL - 12326 Hypo - 1 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test 12410 / 12420 zone Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, it might balance for a while, later any break of VAH or VAL with momentum will lead to 12400 zone or 12300 zone respectively Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12300 / 12240 zone. Side Note: 1) 15th Jan was a neutral day. price broke IBH but could not sustain, closed below IBH but above Jan 14th VAH. VAs did shift little lower below the PPOCs 2) Today's opening is important to see the trend. 3) ViX was marginally up by 2%, but closed flat at 14.12

@9.00 AM NF Closed at 12394 NF VAs VAH - 12371 POC - 12357 VAL - 12345 Hypo - 1 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test 12420 / 12450 zones. Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, it might balance a while and if price breaks 12370 with momentum, it might test 12420 / 12450 zone. If price breaks 12345 with momentum it might drive down to test 12300 zone Hypo - 3 - if price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12300 / 12240 zone. Side Notes: 1) NF achieved new ATH @ 12412.5 2) 12370 levels was not able to break a while, K period broke and formed single prints from 12370-12390. 3) VAs of 13th Jan and 14th Jan are overlapping and both formed PPOC, very important levels to watch how price auctions 4) ViX was trading 2% down and closed at 13.91

@ 9.00 AM NF closed at 12363.95. Price did not break both sides of the IB. OAIR, closed at highs. NF VAs VAH - 12363 POC - 12354 VAL - 12342 Hypo - 1 - If NF opens above YVAH, it might drive higher to test 12400 / 12420 zone. Hypo - 2 - If NF opens inside YVA, between YVAH and YPOC, it might take YPOC as support and drive higher to test 12400 zone. if opens between YPOC and YVAL, YVAH might act as resistance and price might drive down to test 12300 / 12235 zones. Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12300 / 12230 zones. Side Notes: 1) Vix was flat and up by 2%, closed at 14.28 2) Volumes traded was comparatively less. 3) Today's opening is important for NF to drive higher. Price closed above 12350. 4) Closed at highs, potential COD. 5) Today's results - Indusindbk, Mindtree, Wipro

@ 9.00 AM NF Closed at 12293.5. Clean Auction day. not a pure OTD, tested 9th Jan Volume POC and then cleared 2nd Jan weak high. IBH and IBL broke, ended on a Neutral day. NF VAs VAH - 12326 POC - 12296 VAL - 12272 Hypo - 1 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12220 zone, if price breaks that zone with momentum (single prints), it might test 12110 zone. Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, between YVAH and YPOC, it might drive up to test Y high and later drive down to test 12230 / 12220 zone. If price opens between YPOC and YVAL, it might drive down to test the single prints and later if price accepts the 12210 zone, it might drive down more to test 12110. Hypo - 3 - If price opens above YVAH, price might drive up to test Y high and if price able to break 12350 zone with momentum, it might test 12400 / 12420 levels. Side Notes: 1) At 'F' Period, Price touched new ATH @ 12357. But could not sustain. E, G H tried to break the 12350 zone, but...

@ 9.00 AM NF closed at 12271 NF VAs VAH - 12273 POC - 12234 VAL - 12223 Hypo - 1 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test 12320 / 12330 zone Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, it might balance for a while, it might test the 'C' single prints and then bounce up to test 12300 / 12320 zone. Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, it might test the single prints at 12210 and it breaks with momentum, it might drive down to test 12110 / 12100 zone. Side Notes: 1) 12285 zone is a small resistance zone, price must break above this with momentum. 2) ViX was down 10%, closed at 14. 3) "C" period Single prints between 12220 and 12200. 4) price might do lot of balancing moves today, due to low ViX.

@ 9.00 AM NF Closed at 12065.35 NF VAs VAH - 12072 POC - 12036 VAL - 12024 Hypo - 1 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test 12130 / 12160 levels. Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, it might balance for a while, take support around YPPoC then bounce to test 12160 zone. Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 11900 levels. Side Notes: 1) 8th Jan profile was a perfect normal day, wide IB range and price balanced inside the IB range. 2) ViX shot up to 10%, closed at 15.64. Volatility and Volume is here, expect big NF trading range. 3) Yesterday NF was supported by BNF, but reliance is weak. 4) The price that might recover today will be a pullback rally. Overall trend is bearish. 5) Yesterday, Price could not cross the DD balance of 6th Jan 2020.

@ 9.00 AM NF Closed at 12115 NF VAs VAH - 12138 POC - 12110 VAL - 12078 Hypo - 1 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12025 / 12000 Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVAL, it might balance for a while, later it might bounce up to test Y high (12180 zone) and then drive down towards 12025 zone. Hypo - 3 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test 12180 and then it might head down towards 12000 / 11990 zone. Side Notes: 1) Price closed above 6th Jan "E" single prints and VAs of 7th still hasn't shifted below the single prints. 2) 12180 zone acted as a strong resistance due to selling tail on 6th Jan. 3) ViX opened 10% down, but came up and closed flat at 14.61

@ 9.00 AM NF Closed at 12040 NF VAs VAH - 12120 POC - 12074 VAL - 12026 Hypo - 1 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12000 / 11900 zones Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, between YVAH and YPOC, it might balance for a while and can bounce upside to test 12180 / 12200 levels, if price opens between YPOC and YVAL, it might balance for a while and break downside to test 12000 / 11980 zone Hypo - 3 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test 12180 / 12200 zone. Side Notes: 1) Wide IB was formed - 126.5 Points. 2) ViX shot up to 18% - closed at 14.78 3) Big sell tail is formed between 12220 and 12140. Small single prints between 12090 and 12080 4) Huge volumes started coming in, the Nifty trading range will be expanding slowly.

@ 9.00 AM NF closed at 12259.9, just above POC NF VAs VAH - 12270 POC - 12258 VAL - 12239 Hypo - 1 - If price opens inside YVA, between YVAH and YPOC, it might test 12240 and bounce upside to test 12320 zone. if 12240 zone breaks after balancing moves, it might drive down to test 12200 zone. Hypo - 2 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 26th Dec PoC 12200 / 12190 Hypo - 3 - If price opens above YVAH, it might drive up to test 12327 and 12350 zone. Side Notes: 1) Volume started to Pick up slowly, Vix Shot up to 12%. Closed at 12.7 (+10.53%) 2) If you see the chart, market has been mean reverting in a big zone from 19th Dec 2019 until 3rd Jan 2020. The zone it is trading is 12350 - 12200, except for one day (i.e. Monthly expiry - usually cant take expiry day zones into account). Any break in these zones will trigger Nifty to trend either side 3) Expectation on Monday would be balancing moves in the first half. Price opening is very important and exp...

@ 9.00 AM NF Closed at 12338 NF VAs VAH - 12344 POC - 12327 VAL - 12285 Hypo - 1 - If price opens above YVAH, it might test 30th Dec high and if it breaks 12350 zone with momentum, it might test 12400 / 12420 ( uncharted territory). Hypo - 2 - If price opens inside YVA, it might drive up and test Y high and test 30th Dec high and later swing within YVA and do some balancing moves. Hypo - 3 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12240 zone.  Side Notes: 1) NF closed at highs, Potential COD. 2) ViX was flat to negative throughout the day. Closed @ 11.49 3) Today's open and price auction is very important for trend to continue upside. 4) 30th Dec high might be tested today, but price should break that zone with momentum for further upside. lets see how we open. 5) single prints formed between 12290 - 12310. 

@ 9.00 AM NF Closed at 12251.9 NF VAs VAH - 12249 POC - 12240 VAL - 12233 Hypo - 1 - If price opens below YVAL, it might drive down to test 12200 / 12180 zone. Hypo - 2 - If Price opens inside YVA, it might test YPOC and might test 31st Dec POC, balancing moves and then it might drive down to test 12190 zone. Hypo - 3 - If price above YVAH, it might test 12275 zone and drive down inside YVA, do some balancing moves and later it might drive down to test 12190 zone. Side Notes: 1) Price closed below IBH and YIBL. VAs shifted below 27th Dec single prints. If Volume creeps in, price might crack faster to test 17th Dec single prints zone (12190 - 12145 in JAN Contract or 12150 - 12100 in continuous contract). 17th Dec was a perfect P shape profile and that is where price started driving up. 2) ViX was flat the whole day. closed @ 11.6 3) IBL was broken by almost all the periods. 3) Weekly expiry day, trade with small qty.